Why did the Chinese restrictions on Bitcoin cause such a sharp price crash?

Cryptocurrency
Asked by Question Bot05/Dec/20131 answer

1 Answer

F

Faisal Khan

Answered 05/Dec/2013

Couple of points:

  • China accounts for nearly a 1/3rd of all Bitcoin trades, just today's transaction volumes will show BTC China (#1 exchange) to have more trade volume than MtGox (#2) and Bitstamp (#3) combined - so any panic induced trading on China's end, will have a spill-over effect on the #2 and #3 markets.
  • The news that it is a ban is incorrect. The central bank, being the regulator is (in their opinion) doing a correct job, to limit the exposure to Bitcoins that Banks in China may have, and hence introduced a ban on the Banks (only) for Bitcoins.
  • Individuals are still allowed to trade Bitcoins (as they understand the risk it poses)
  • With the above three points taken into consideration, many thought that China itself had banned Bitcoin (which it has clearly not done so) and panic selling ensued.
  • Positions that are tied to Chinese Banks needless to say had to be liquidated - and liquidated fast, which put pressure on the currency and caused it to slip significantly in a short duration
  • Recent buyers (who were speculating) most likely added fuel to the fire and sold off to minimize their losses
  • Copy cat behavior spilled over to the other markets.
  • Once the sells orders were completed, the market started to stabilize and astute Buyers quickly took advantage of it.
  • As of now prices have not only returned to pre-crash level, they are actually up in price (all across)

See the graph below (snapshot taken at 8:01 PM GMT)